Weather and Commodities » weather http://blog.commodityweather.com Mon, 19 Sep 2011 13:44:49 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 en hourly 1 Weather for StrataConf this week http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/09/19/weather-for-strataconf-this-week/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/09/19/weather-for-strataconf-this-week/#comments Mon, 19 Sep 2011 13:40:36 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2500

 

http://strataconf.com/stratany2011

 

]]> http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/09/19/weather-for-strataconf-this-week/feed/ 0 Irene visible satellite image http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/08/26/irene-visible-satellite-image/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/08/26/irene-visible-satellite-image/#comments Fri, 26 Aug 2011 13:22:20 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2493

 

from Naval Research Lab

 

 

]]> http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/08/26/irene-visible-satellite-image/feed/ 0 24 hour Forecast – Easton, PA http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/07/22/24-hour-forecast-easton-pa/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/07/22/24-hour-forecast-easton-pa/#comments Fri, 22 Jul 2011 13:03:22 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2471

 

24 hour forecast from wt360

 

 

]]> http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/07/22/24-hour-forecast-easton-pa/feed/ 0 US corn note – 18 July http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/07/19/us-corn-note-18-july/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/07/19/us-corn-note-18-july/#comments Tue, 19 Jul 2011 14:28:15 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2464 Excerpt from the note that went out to Weather Trends clients yesterday (Monday) morning:

In light of the softer market regarding futures prices, extreme heat across the corn belt this week should add some strength to the sector with widespread warmer temperatures and a drier pattern in the southern belt for several days potentially limiting yields.  With season to date weather now figured into our models coupled with the forecast weather through harvest, the WTI outlook for US corn (18 major states) is for 2011 yield numbers to come in just above trend line (7 year) yields.  We also feel that USDA crop numbers will start to reflect these limitations on the crop. 

 

this morning’s September chart below

 

 

 

 

 

 

]]> http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/07/19/us-corn-note-18-july/feed/ 0 Typhoon Ma-on http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/07/19/typhoon-ma-on/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/07/19/typhoon-ma-on/#comments Tue, 19 Jul 2011 12:49:49 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2457 Projected track of Typhoon Ma-on from the Japan Met Agency; current satellite below.

 

 

 

 

 

]]> http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/07/19/typhoon-ma-on/feed/ 0 sugar holding steady http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/28/sugar-holding-steady/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/28/sugar-holding-steady/#comments Tue, 28 Jun 2011 13:43:32 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2445

]]> http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/28/sugar-holding-steady/feed/ 0 Tropical Update http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/28/tropical-update/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/28/tropical-update/#comments Tue, 28 Jun 2011 11:41:44 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2440

]]> http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/28/tropical-update/feed/ 0 WT360 Tornado Watch http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/01/wt360-tornado-watch/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/01/wt360-tornado-watch/#comments Wed, 01 Jun 2011 19:29:02 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2407

]]> http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/01/wt360-tornado-watch/feed/ 0 US Corn Progress http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/01/us-corn-progress/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/01/us-corn-progress/#comments Wed, 01 Jun 2011 13:12:32 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2396 Yesterday’s USDA Crop Progress Report verifies that the gap between last year’s progress has narrowed over the last week as a result of a favorable weather pattern in the Midwest.  As of 29 May, the 18 major growing states are at 86% complete, vs. 97% last year and the 5 year average of 95% (see first table below).  The  second table highlights the % emerged as of the same date, and we can see that the crop is getting off to a late start.  At this stage, the later start to the 2011 corn crop is priced in, but there may be additional price risk to the upside if certain milestones in the crop cycle delayed.  Crop tours will assess the development pace. 

 

 

 

The map below shows the Weather Trends Y/Y precipitation forecast for July, with the corn belt highlighted.  While June will help the crop get off to a good start, we are noting the potential for some weather risk due to drier conditions in the western corn belt.

 

 

 

 

]]> http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/01/us-corn-progress/feed/ 0 Welcome to Hurricane Season http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/01/welcome-to-hurricane-season/ http://blog.commodityweather.com/2011/06/01/welcome-to-hurricane-season/#comments Wed, 01 Jun 2011 12:32:41 +0000 Michael Ferrari http://blog.commodityweather.com/?p=2391 June 1, 2011

 

 

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