as expected, stocks (slightly) higher than LY and 5 yr ave
 
EIA Natural Gas Storage Data
Release 18 Feb 2010
Total (02/12/10): 2025 Bcf
Total (02/05/10): 2215 Bcf
Change: -190 Bcf
%diff to LY: +1.3%
5ya stocks: 1972
%diff to 5ya: +2.7%

EIA Natural Gas Storage Data
Total (01/29/10): 2,406 Bcf
Total (01/22/10): 2,521 Bcf
Change: -115 Bcf
Year ago stocks: 2,207 Bcf
% diff to yr ago: 9.0 %
5-year avg stocks: 2,256
% dif to 5-yr avg: 6.6 %
stats here www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/natural_gas/ngs/ngs.html

Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research
Despite a healthy seasonal pattern, South American soybeans are becoming susceptible to rust outbreaks this season.  The cool and wet El Nino-induced precipitation pattern set the stage for precursor conditions that are conducive for fungal development.  Following the development, we are now concerned with transport mechanisms.  The Weather [...]

Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research
Yesterday’s EIA natural gas storage report (period ending 22Jan) showed total US natgas stocks at 2521 Bcf, 5% higher than one year ago. Following a brief reprieve based on this news, which was not unexpected, we should see a bounce in the short term with the cold [...]

Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research
In a lit. review involving weather/climate and applied research, this is one of the earliest references that I came across, from the Journal of the Operations Research Society of America, published in 1953. If anyone has an electronic copy, I’d be grateful to receive it.

Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research
The chart below shows the verification ot the Weather Trends long range year-over-year forecast for the northeastern states in December 2009. The bars depict our forecast (temp change by day) and the line is the observed change.