Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research
Yesterday’s EIA natural gas storage report (period ending 22Jan) showed total US natgas stocks at 2521 Bcf, 5% higher than one year ago. Following a brief reprieve based on this news, which was not unexpected, we should see a bounce in the short term with the cold [...]

Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research
Adverse weather continues to plague Mongolia, raising fears of a serious threat to the country’s food and resource supply over the coming months. As we have seen by the recent disaster triggered by the earthquake in Haiti, geophysical events have the ability to disrupt society on an [...]

Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research
In a lit. review involving weather/climate and applied research, this is one of the earliest references that I came across, from the Journal of the Operations Research Society of America, published in 1953. If anyone has an electronic copy, I’d be grateful to receive it.

Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research
Many readers are well aware of the pain felt among Indian sugarcane producers last year as the poor start (and middle) of last season’s monsoon translated to a poor crop, forcing domestic imports for the first time in three years. As a result, raw sugar prices on [...]

Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research
The chart below shows the verification ot the Weather Trends long range year-over-year forecast for the northeastern states in December 2009. The bars depict our forecast (temp change by day) and the line is the observed change.

EIA Natural Gas Storage Data
Total (01/08/10): 2,852 Bcf
Total (01/01/10): 3,118 Bcf (Revised)
Change: -266 Bcf
Year ago stocks: 2,749 Bcf
% diff to yr ago: 3.7 %
5-year avg stocks: 2,731
% dif to 5-yr avg: 4.4 %